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British Polling Council
#1
An association of market research companies whose opinion polls, particularly political ones, are regularly published or broadcast in the British media. The BPC was established following the perceived failure of opinion polls to come close to predicting the actual result of the 1992 general election.
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
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#2
May 2000

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 34%
Labour: 44%
Lib Dem: 18%
Labour Lead of 10%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 46%
No: 28%
Net: +18

Approval of the work of John Smith as Prime Minister
Yes: 53%
No: 25%
Net: +28

Approval of the work of Michael Portillo as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 49%
No: 35%
Net: +14



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 36%
Labour: 41%
Lib Dem: 19%
Labour Lead of 5%

Economic Optimism
Get better: 18%
Stay the same: 42%
Get worse: 31%
Economic Optimism Index: -13



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 36%
Labour: 42%
Lib Dem: 17%
Labour Lead of 6%

Most important issues
NHS: 20%
EU/Euro: 17%
Education: 6%
Petrol prices: 6%
Environment: 6%
Economy: 5%
Crime: 4%
Unemployment: 4%
Tax: 3%
Immigration: 3%
Pensions: 2%
Transport: 2%
Housing: 2%
All others at 1% or less
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
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#3
Peter Kellner's polling review

[Image: AUvYwj5.png]

As we approach the half-way mark in the first year of the new millennium, we pass another important milestone: the third anniversary of the astonishing 1997 general election. Labour returned to power after 14 years, their majority of 69 one of the largest the party has ever received. The Conservative's vote share of 32% was their worse since the days of the Duke of Wellington, and the Liberal Democrats almost trebled their number of seats. With the three year mark indicating a Parliament entering its autumn, let's use this opportunity to assess the state of the parties.

In the latest polls from the major firms, we see something of a disparity. Labour holds a lead of 5-6% in MORI and ICM's polls, but of 10% according to Gallup. The size of this gap looks a little scary, but in reality it's perfectly explainable by the normal scale of margin of error. Basing any assessment off just one set of polls is not a smart move, however. Looking back over the last 12 months, Labour have been consistently polling in the lower-40s over the last year, while the Tories have been in the mid to upper-30s. This has yielded anything from an 11 point lead down to just a 1 point lead, although those lower values have been very few and far between. I'm therefore about as certain as we can be that Labour do in fact lead, and we have plenty of evidence that their true lead stands somewhere in the bigger half of the single digits.

On the national swing implied by the average of these results, Labour's majority would be cut from 69 down to the mid-50s. On the MORI or ICM poll this would go down further, to the 40s. If the Gallup poll is accurate, the Government's majority would actually increase, up into the 80s. Labour would hold onto power as the figures stand, for a historic second term. But remember, polls can move rapidly come an election campaign, so a Labour win is far from certain.

John Smith is polling ahead of his party, with net approval of +28 to the party's +18. This suggests that his personal support is boosting that of his Government. Indeed, a negative Economic Optimism Index points to a public somewhat disenchanted with Labour's performance up to now. Mr Portillo lags behind Mr Smith, perhaps beleaguered by continuing party ructions over Europe. That being said, it is important for both parties to determine a clear stance on the Euro. 17% of voters ranked the EU as the most important issue facing Britain today. It is only beaten by concerns about the NHS (20%) in the minds of voters. It's interesting to note that, despite the BNP saving deposits for the first time at a general election, and being able to secure a handful of fourth place finishes, only 3% of us list immigration as the most important issue.

All in all, Labour continues to hold similar levels of public support to that which they received back in 97, namely, very respectable for a Labour Government. Not a landslide, but not pecking around at the margins of hung parliament territory either. Labour are in the box seats, but anything can happen in the remaining term, and as I noted before public opinion can move quickly come the election. If a week is a long time in politics, then what does that make two years?
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
Thanks given by:
#4
November 2000

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 39% (+5)
Labour: 37% (-7)
Lib Dem: 21% (+3)
Conservative Lead of 2%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 31%
No: 26%
Net: +5

Approval of the work of Elizabeth Tanner as Prime Minister
Yes: 33%
No: 20%
Net: +13

Approval of the work of Harold Saxon as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 31%
No: 24%
Net: +7



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 38%(+2)
Labour: 37% (-4)
Lib Dem: 22% (+3)
Conservative Lead of 1%

Economic Optimism
Get better: 16%
Stay the same: 37%
Get worse: 32%
Economic Optimism Index: -16



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 37% (+1)
Labour: 38% (-4)
Lib Dem: 21% (+4)
Labour Lead of 1%

Approval of fuel protests (fieldwork on first day of protest)
Yes: 72%
No: 9%
Net: +63

Approval of fuel protests (fieldwork on last day of protest)
Yes: 38%
No: 31%
Net: +7
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
Thanks given by:
#5
February 2001

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 37% (-2)
Labour: 39% (+2)
Lib Dem: 21% (±0)
Labour Lead of 2%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 35%
No: 26%
Net: +9

Approval of the work of Elizabeth Tanner as Prime Minister
Yes: 31%
No: 20%
Net: +11

Approval of the work of Harold Saxon as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 29%
No: 25%
Net: +3

Approval of the work of Rebecca Flair as leader of the Lib Dems
Yes: 17%
No: 4%
Net: +13



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 38% (±0)
Labour: 37% (±0)
Lib Dem: 23% (+1)
Conservative Lead of 1%

Economic Optimism
Get better: 18%
Stay the same: 39%
Get worse: 31%
Economic Optimism Index: -13



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 37% (±0)
Labour: 37% (-1)
Lib Dem: 23% (+2)
Labour and Conservatives Tied

Will/would you get your child vaccinated against measles, mumps and rubella?
Yes: 88%
No: 9%

Should parents be able choose for their child to get three separate jabs instead of the combined MMR?
Yes: 68%
No: 26%
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
Thanks given by:
#6
Post-resignation Special

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 38% (+1)
Labour: 36% (-3)
Lib Dem: 24% (+4)
Conservative Lead of 2%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 35%
No: 36%
Net: -1

Approval of the work of Harold Saxon as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 32%
No: 23%
Net: +9



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 40% (+2)
Labour: 34% (-3)
Lib Dem: 23% (±0)
Conservative Lead of 6%

Economic Optimism
Get better: 18%
Stay the same: 36%
Get worse: 32%
Economic Optimism Index: -14



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 38% (+1)
Labour: 35% (-2)
Lib Dem: 24% (+1)
Conservatives Lead of 3%

Which of the following would make the best new Prime Minister and Leader of the Labour Party?
Labour Party members / British residents
Sean Manning: 33% / 22%
Callum Finch: 29% / 13%
Harriet Roth: 19% / 9%
Ben Maulty: 6% / 7%
Belinda MacDonald: 4% / 6%
Don't Know/Other: 10% / 44%
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
Thanks given by:
#7
May 2001

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 40% (+2)
Labour: 38% (+2)
Lib Dem: 19% (-5)
Conservative Lead of 2%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 42%
No: 33%
Net: +9

Approval of the work of Callum Finch as Prime Minister
Yes: 31%
No: 27%
Net: +4

Approval of the work of Harold Saxon as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 28%
No: 29%
Net: -1



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 40% (±0)
Labour: 37% (+3)
Lib Dem: 19% (-4)
Conservative Lead of 3%

Economic Optimism
Get better: 33%
Stay the same: 38%
Get worse: 21%
Economic Optimism Index: +12



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 38% (±0)
Labour: 37% (+2)
Lib Dem: 20% (-4)
Conservatives Lead of 1%

What is your view of the Budget of Sean Manning
Approve: 48%
Disapprove: 35%
Net: +13

What is your view of the Shadow Budget of Ralph McKowen
Approve: 37%
Disapprove: 28%
Net: +9
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
Thanks given by:
#8
August 2001

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 40% (±0)
Labour: 36% (-2)
Lib Dem: 21% (+2)
Conservative Lead of 4%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 39%
No: 34%
Net: +5

Approval of the work of Callum Finch as Prime Minister
Yes: 27%
No: 22%
Net: +2

Approval of the work of Harold Saxon as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 32%
No: 31%
Net: +1



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 38% (-2)
Labour: 34% (-3)
Lib Dem: 22% (+3)
Conservative Lead of 4%

Economic Optimism
Get better: 34%
Stay the same: 36%
Get worse: 21%
Economic Optimism Index: +13



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 40% (+2)
Labour: 35% (-2)
Lib Dem: 19% (-1)
Conservatives Lead of 5%

Most important issues
NHS: 19%
EU/Euro: 16%
Crime: 8%
Corruption: 5%
Transport: 5%
Housing: 5%
Petrol Prices: 4%
Education: 3%
Unemployment: 3%
Immigration: 3%
Environment: 2%
Tax: 2%
Economy: 2%
Employment: 2%
Pensions: 2%
Liberia: 2%
All others at 1% or less
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
Thanks given by:
#9
September 2001

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 40% (±0)
Labour: 34% (-2)
Lib Dem: 21% (±0)
Conservative Lead of 6%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 42%
No: 33%
Net: +9

Approval of the work of Callum Finch as Prime Minister
Yes: 29%
No: 23%
Net: +6

Approval of the work of Harold Saxon as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 33%
No: 28%
Net: +5



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 38% (±0)
Labour: 38% (+4)
Lib Dem: 20% (-2)
Labour and Conservatives tied

Economic Optimism
Get better: 41%
Stay the same: 26%
Get worse: 24%
Economic Optimism Index: +17



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 37% (-3)
Labour: 34% (-1)
Lib Dem: 20% (+1)
Conservatives Lead of 3%

Is sex between adults of the same sex wrong?
Always wrong: 36%
Sometimes wrong: 24%
Not wrong at all: 34%
Don't know: 6%
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
Thanks given by:
#10
November 2001

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 36% (-4)
Labour: 38% (+4)
Lib Dem: 22% (-1)
Labour Lead of 2%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 43%
No: 29%
Net: +14

Approval of the work of Callum Finch as Prime Minister
Yes: 32%
No: 21%
Net: +11

Approval of the work of Harold Saxon as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 32%
No: 29%
Net: +3



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 35% (-3)
Labour: 39% (+1)
Lib Dem: 24% (+4)
Labour Lead of 4%

Economic Optimism
Get better: 45%
Stay the same: 22%
Get worse: 24%
Economic Optimism Index: +21



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 36% (-1)
Labour: 38% (+4)
Lib Dem: 22% (+2)
Labour Lead of 2%

How much do you trust politicians to tell the truth when they are in a tight corner?
Just about always: 1%
Most of the time: 8%
Only some of the time: 42%
Almost never: 49%
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
Thanks given by:
#11
January 2002

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 37% (+1)
Labour: 38% (±0)
Lib Dem: 24% (+2)
Labour Lead of 1%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 47%
No: 28%
Net: +19

Approval of the work of Callum Finch as Prime Minister
Yes: 34%
No: 19%
Net: +15

Approval of the work of Harold Saxon as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 33%
No: 21%
Net: +12



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 34% (-1)
Labour: 39% (±0)
Lib Dem: 22% (-2)
Labour Lead of 5%

Economic Optimism
Get better: 41%
Stay the same: 25%
Get worse: 22%
Economic Optimism Index: +19



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 36% (±0)
Labour: 37% (-1)
Lib Dem: 22% (±0)
Labour Lead of 1%

How satisfied are you with the way in which the NHS runs nowadays?
Satisfied: 40%
Dissatisfied 41%
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
Thanks given by:
#12
February 2002

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 38% (+1)
Labour: 39% (+1)
Lib Dem: 18% (-6)
Labour Lead of 1%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 49%
No: 25%
Net: +24

Approval of the work of Callum Finch as Prime Minister
Yes: 35%
No: 18%
Net: +17

Approval of the work of Harold Saxon as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 36%
No: 20%
Net: +16



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 36% (+2)
Labour: 40% (+1)
Lib Dem: 20% (-2)
Labour Lead of 4%

Economic Optimism
Get better: 39%
Stay the same: 26%
Get worse: 21%
Economic Optimism Index: +18



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 35% (-1)
Labour: 39% (+2)
Lib Dem: 18% (-4)
Labour Lead of 4%

Voting is the only way people like me can have any say about how the government runs things
Agree: 69%
Disagree: 20%

Those we elect as MPs lose touch with people pretty quickly
Agree: 75%
Disagree: 12%

It doesn't really matter which party is in power, in the end things go on much the same
Agree: 71%
Disagree: 24%
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
Thanks given by:
#13
March 2002

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 37% (-1)
Labour: 40% (+1)
Lib Dem: 21% (+3)
Labour Lead of 3%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 48%
No: 27%
Net: +21

Approval of the work of Callum Finch as Prime Minister
Yes: 31%
No: 19%
Net: +12

Approval of the work of Harold Saxon as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 32%
No: 21%
Net: +11



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 38% (+2)
Labour: 40% (±0)
Lib Dem: 20% (±0)
Labour Lead of 2%

Economic Optimism
Get better: 35%
Stay the same: 25%
Get worse: 19%
Economic Optimism Index: +16



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 38% (+3)
Labour: 41% (+2)
Lib Dem: 20% (+2)
Labour Lead of 3%

Do you support military action in Afghanistan? (Question asked in the UK)
Agree: 65%
Disagree: 20%

Do you support military action in Afghanistan? (Question asked in the USA)
Agree: 88%
Disagree: 5%
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
Thanks given by:
#14
Pre-Election 2002

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 37% (±0)
Labour: 38% (-2)
Lib Dem: 18% (-3)
Labour Lead of 1%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 46%
No: 23%
Net: +23

Approval of the work of Callum Finch as Prime Minister
Yes: 29%
No: 22%
Net: +7

Approval of the work of Harold Saxon as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 34%
No: 19%
Net: +15



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 38% (±0)
Labour: 40% (±0)
Lib Dem: 20% (±0)
Labour Lead of 2%

Economic Optimism
Get better: 34%
Stay the same: 25%
Get worse: 22%
Economic Optimism Index: +12



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 35% (-3)
Labour: 39% (-2)
Lib Dem: 19% (-1)
Labour Lead of 4%

Which of the following do you feel describes the Labour Party?
Which of the following do you feel describes the Conservative Party?

Has a good team of leaders: 41% 37%
Understands the problems facing Britain: 22% 21%
Is moderate: 55% 55%
Is extreme: 32% 23%
Will promise anything to win votes: 34% 49%
Divided: 29% 18%
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
Thanks given by:
#15
Mid-election 2002

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 40% (+3)
Labour: 36% (-2)
Lib Dem: 18% (+/-)
Conservative lead of 4%



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 39% (+1)
Labour: 37% (-3)
Lib Dem: 22% (+2)
Conservative lead of 2%

Which party do you think is running the best election campaign?
Labour 10%
Conservative 42%
Lib Dem 8%
None of the above / don't know: 40%



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 37% (+2)
Labour: 37% (-2)
Lib Dem: 18% (+/-)
Dead heat

Have you received campaign literature from, spoken to a canvasser from, or seen any coverage of, the following parties' campaigns?
Labour 39%
Conservative 61%
Lib Dem 38%
Steve
Will be doing things soon
Reply
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#16
July 2002

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 32% (-5)
Labour: 37% (-1)
Lib Dem: 24% (+6)
Labour Lead of 5%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 39%
No: 21%
Net: +18

Approval of the work of Callum Finch as Prime Minister
Yes: 24%
No: 27%
Net: -3

Approval of the work of Harold Saxon as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 22%
No: 29%
Net: -7



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 36% (-2)
Labour: 39% (-1)
Lib Dem: 25% (+5)
Labour Lead of 3%

Economic Optimism
Get better: 32%
Stay the same: 23%
Get worse: 25%
Economic Optimism Index: +7



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 35% (±0)
Labour: 40% (+1)
Lib Dem: 22% (+3)
Labour Lead of 5%

Suppose a lone parent on benefits was asked to visit the job centre frequently to talk about ways in which they might find work. What should happen to their benefits if they do not go?
Should not affect benefits: 17%
Benefits reduced a little: 44%
Benefits reduced a lot: 14%
Benefits stopped: 22%
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
Thanks given by:
#17
September 2002

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 32% (±0)
Labour: 37% (±0)
Lib Dem: 24% (±0)
Labour Lead of 5%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 42%
No: 19%
Net: +23

Approval of the work of Callum Finch as Prime Minister
Yes: 25%
No: 24%
Net: +1

Approval of the work of Harold Saxon as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 23%
No: 26%
Net: -3



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 36% (±0)
Labour: 40% (+1)
Lib Dem: 22% (-3)
Labour Lead of 4%

Economic Optimism
Get better: 29%
Stay the same: 24%
Get worse: 26%
Economic Optimism Index: +3



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 34% (-1)
Labour: 39% (-1)
Lib Dem: 25% (+3)
Labour Lead of 5%

Do you agree or disagree with the following? A job is all right, but what most women really want is a home and children.
Agree: 25%
Disagree: 45%
Neither agree/disagree: 30%
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
Thanks given by:
#18
October 2002

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 33% (+1)
Labour: 39% (+2)
Lib Dem: 24% (±0)
Labour Lead of 6%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 41%
No: 17%
Net: +24

Approval of the work of Callum Finch as Prime Minister
Yes: 28%
No: 25%
Net: +3

Approval of the work of Evelyn Lynwood as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 14%
No: 9%
Net: +5



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 33% (-3)
Labour: 39% (-1)
Lib Dem: 25% (+3)
Labour Lead of 6%

Economic Optimism
Get better: 28%
Stay the same: 22%
Get worse: 30%
Economic Optimism Index: -2



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 31% (-3)
Labour: 39% (±0)
Lib Dem: 25% (±0)
Labour Lead of 8%

Do you agree or disagree with the following? Universities do enough to encourage working class young people to study there.
Agree: 28%
Disagree: 23%
Don't know: 49%
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
Reply
Thanks given by:
#19
January 2003

Gallup/Telegraph

Voting Intention
Conservative: 34% (+1)
Labour: 39% (±0)
Lib Dem: 24% (±0)
Labour Lead of 5%

Approval of the work of the Government
Yes: 38%
No: 16%
Net: +22

Approval of the work of Callum Finch as Prime Minister
Yes: 26%
No: 22%
Net: +4

Approval of the work of Evelyn Lynwood as Leader of the Opposition
Yes: 21%
No: 14%
Net: +7



MORI/Times

Voting Intention
Conservative: 33% (±0)
Labour: 38% (-1)
Lib Dem: 24% (-1)
Labour Lead of 5%

Economic Optimism
Get better: 25%
Stay the same: 23%
Get worse: 29%
Economic Optimism Index: -4



ICM/Guardian

Voting Intention
Conservative: 32% (+1)
Labour: 41% (+2)
Lib Dem: 23% (-2)
Labour Lead of 9%

Do you have access to the Internet at home?
Yes: 46%
No: 54%
Andy
Acting Head Admin
Speaker of the House of Commons
Advisor for the Labour Party, the Cabinet Office and the Home Office
Poll wrangler and election psephologist
Scandalmonger

I forget Andy has political opinions. I always just think of him as a Civil Servant in real life - Mac
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